India’s Metro conundrum
We are building many fancy Metro systems; the task is to make them viable
Alok Tiwari
Some months back, an international
publication came up with a critique of India’s Metro building spree. It pointed
out that while India has rolled out Metros, basically rail-based urban mass
transit systems, at an impressive pace, most of the system were failing to live
up to their promise. Even in bigger cities like Bengaluru and Hyderabad, metro
utilization remains below par. Indian government, thin-skinned to any foreign
criticism, quickly came out in defence. While not disputing the figures in
original report, it pointed to growing utilization of Metro systems, the
suggestion being that with time utilization will improve.
Then came the completion of first phase of
Pune Metro where the same old story was reported. The ridership barely reached
a third of what it was projected. The figures at smaller cities like Jaipur,
Nagpur, Lucknow, Kochi are still worse. Yet, many of these cities are now
doubling down with second and third phases of Metro expansion. Many more are in
the pipeline as central government has a policy of supporting Metros for all
cities having more than 20 lakh population.
This bodes ill for our urban planning and
macro finances. The Metro projects are prohibitively expensive. Even for
elevated systems that most cities are building, it can be upwards of Rs225
crore per km. For underground systems, part of many ongoing projects, it is significantly
higher. These projects are financed with contributions from the Centre and
respective state governments and local bodies, but half the money is pure debt.
Since central and state governments themselves are net borrowers, the projects
are adding up big time to national debt. It is critical therefore that they be
financially viable.
It is notoriously difficult to make urban
transit system profitable. If fares are increased beyond a point, people simply
shift to personal transport. Hence most of them rely on non-fare revenue like
money from leasing commercial space in stations. Some cities have provided for
cess on property transactions and premium of extra FSIs along Metro corridors
to provide revenue stream for Metro systems. Yet, they are so far proving
inadequate. It is conceivable these systems may degrade in quality once bad
finances begin to bite. This can already be seen in decreasing levels of
cleanliness and maintenance at several relatively new Metro systems.
The fact is that most of the cities
building Metros in India do not need them. At least not immediately. These are
mostly prestige and ego projects. And once a few cities started building them,
leaders in every state wanted them to project their achievement. These cities
could have run a far more extensive and efficient bus service with the same
amount of money. It would have proved far more useful mode of public transport.
But buses are not seen nearly as sexy as shiny trains zipping across the
skyline.
Trains are highest capacity urban transit
solution. A rail-based system needs movement of more than 20,000 people per
hour per direction to be viable. That is a lot to sustain for any city save the
largest ones. Also, the systems work best where they connect very large
business districts with very large residential clusters. Most smaller cities
are neither linear like Mumbai nor having enough economic heft like Delhi to
generate that kind of movement of people. They are spreading in all directions
and have mixed use areas.
Their population density is also not
enough. Typical trips do not run along one or two corridors of Metro. They do
not have good last mile public transport connectivity in places far from Metro
stations. It is much easier for citizens to take a two-wheeler instead of
having to deal with ramshackle public transport at both ends of their Metro
ride. That the Metros have not eased the traffic problem is already evident. In
several cases, there is now increased congestion along the Metro corridor
because the viaduct has eaten into road space and traffic has not reduced after
Metro became operational.
Proponents of the Metro systems argue it is
much better to build infrastructure along with a city’s growth instead of
allowing it to first collapse and then find solution. After all world class
cities build their urban transit systems as they grew. There is merit in this
argument, but it is worth remembering those cities had money to burn when they
build their systems. Also, they did not neglect other modes of public transport
that feed into the Metro systems. Along with subway or tubes, these cities also
have first class buses and reasonable cabs.
Their merit apart, the Metro systems in our
cities are a fact of life. So, how can they be made more useful and relevant to
citizens? Luckily many of these systems are in state capitals and thus enjoy
backing of a state government. They can change land-use and development rules
to ensure better Metro ridership. Some have done so by offering more FSI along
corridors. In the long term this will increase population density along the
corridor just as sale of FSI brings revenue for Metro systems.
This step alone will not be enough.
Lifeblood of a Metro system are daily commuters. As of now, most of the smaller
cities do not have enough number of them in all, let alone along one or two
corridors. This is because they just do not have enough jobs. Most of the
economic development has happened and is happening around a handful of big
cities. Both central and state governments need to work together to change
this. They need to incentivize new investments in these cities and direct them
to come up at places with Metro connectivity. Done on a large enough scale, it
will help these systems become viable. Hopefully, it will also make life easier
in our overcrowded megapolises.
This column appeared in Lokmat Times on Nov 27, 2024

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